Third Millennium Thinking

“A model of clear thinking, and a terrific discussion of how to use logic and evidence to solve the hardest problems. This might just be the cure for what ails us.”—Cass R. Sunstein, Robert Walmsley University Professor, Harvard University, and author of Decisions About Decisions

“If our species is to stagger through another millennium, we need to get better at thinking about how we think—and conducting high-stakes debates more intelligently. This book lays out, with superb clarity, the path forward.”—Philip E. Tetlock, author of Superforecasting

“This is a wonderful book for anyone interested in how best to navigate our complex world of information overload. Engagingly and informatively, it emphasizes how processes used in the practice of science can provide widely-applicable tools for approaching individual and collective decision-making. A truly valuable resource for taking on the challenges facing our species and the planet.”—Elizabeth Blackburn, PhD, Nobel Prize winner and coauthor of The Telomere Effect

"A physicist, a philosopher, and a psychologist walk into a book, and mix an inviting cocktail about how to think through big problems and make effective decisions in a Third Millennium age of overwhelming, complex, and contradictory information. A must read for anyone who needs to make expert judgments without being experts themselves."—David Dunning, Professor of Psychology at the University of Michigan and discoverer of the Dunning-Kruger Effect

“In a world filled with uncertainty and fractured by polarization, this guide to critical thinking couldn’t come at a better time. A Nobel laureate physicist, an influential philosopher, and an expert on legal psychology reveal how you can use the tools of science in everyday life to make smarter judgments and wiser decisions.”—Adam Grant, #1 New York Times bestselling author of Think Again and Hidden Potential, and host of the podcast Re:Thinking

“Third Millennium Thinking offers a roadmap for making more effective decisions in an increasingly complex and noisy world. If you could only read one book about how to think more clearly, make it this one.”—Annie Duke, author of Thinking in Bets

“A pertinent study about how knowing what questions to ask is the way to cut through confusion and misunderstanding. . . the authors offer valuable tools for understanding this complex, confusing era.”—Kirkus Reviews

“The strategies laid out in Third Millennium Thinking are very likely to help people navigate life decisions, and have the potential to empower better thinking about some of today’s pressing challenges.”—The Wall Street Journal